Daily Bias

Definition

Daily Bias is your directional expectation for the current trading day based on HTF market structure, liquidity, and price positioning. It's your "compass" that determines whether you look for LONG or SHORT setups throughout the day.

Why It Matters

• Trading with daily bias dramatically increases win rate
• Prevents trading against the flow
• Filters setups — only trade in bias direction
• Aligns intraday moves with institutional direction

How to Determine Daily Bias

1. Check 4H/Daily structure: Bullish or bearish?
2. Previous day analysis: Did price close strong/weak?
3. Weekly level: Are we in premium (sell bias) or discount (buy bias)?
4. Liquidity: Which side needs to be targeted today?
5. News events: High-impact news may shift bias

Bullish Daily Bias Criteria:

• 4H/Daily in bullish structure
• Price in discount array (below equilibrium)
• Previous day strong close
• SSL below swept, BSL above remaining

Bearish Daily Bias Criteria:

• 4H/Daily in bearish structure
• Price in premium array (above equilibrium)
• Previous day weak close
• BSL above swept, SSL below remaining

Trading Application

• Bullish Bias: ONLY look for LONG setups (FVG, OB, OTE longs)
• Bearish Bias: ONLY look for SHORT setups (FVG, OB, OTE shorts)
• Neutral/Uncertain: Stay flat, wait for clarity

Set bias BEFORE London open. Don't change mid-day unless major structure shift occurs.

Example

Sunday night analysis: 4H bullish, Daily closed strong Friday, price at 1.0840 (discount), BSL at 1.0920 untouched → Bullish Daily Bias → Monday: Only trade LONG setups